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With the anticipated delays of Dhusamareb Conference, FTL experts put together a Situational Alert Brief to highlight possible opportunities to put the conference back on track.
In this Brief, our Political Analysts provided concrete measures members of the International Community can take to ensure Inclusivity and generate support for the outcome of the Dhusamareb process. Using the identified ‘control variables’, concerted diplomatic effort to secure a positive outcome is worth considering.
The Political Elite and possible Exclusive Political Pact
In this Brief, new participants are identified whose participation could potentially have a neutralizing effect in this otherwise highly political process and make the process inclusive and avoid Dhusamareb conference essentially becoming a vehicle for the Political Elite to facilitate their next Political Pact.
Drivers of Instability and Spoiler Behaviour
Actions are proposed to discourage possible spoiler behaviour and recommendations on how and when strategic pressure on both FMS and FGS actors should be applied to prevent collapse of this important talks.
Also, names and contact details are included to allow Diplomatic Mission to promptly and directly interact with relevant actors if necessary.
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